That’s just not the reality that embraces us. All we can do now is hope that Mr. Jeff Luhnow, Director of the Houston Astros’ newly formed and still straddling mustang of choice, the Baseball Decision-making Science Institute, has pulled the right plug on probability and drafted a guy in Carlos Correa who will prove over time that he was not only the best pick, but also the best player available in the draft of 2012.
I believe that every people like the team and the players are not the same.It’s easy to look back at any team’s previous draft record and note the great players that have been overlooked in favor of names no one recalls today. The Houston Chronicle has been doing it with the Houston Astros all week in the time leading up to yesterday’s early round choices, but that’s OK. The Nevin over Jeter pick by the Stros back in ’92 is just the most glamorized example of how wrong a team can be with their forecasting. So what? As far as I’m concerned, it’s all the more reason to support GM Luhnow’s plan to promote decision-making as a scientific process that will improve long-term results as it also improves over time as an always dynamic system for making personnel decisions.
Decison-making is a long, long trip. We are never “there yet.” We are always complexly en route, hoping to get better as we go along – and trying to learn a little something from each mistake we make that will help us the next time we reach a similar looking crossroad.
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